BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Illinois St
Class: 1 Class Rank: 120 Overall: (22-12) Overall Strength = 35.29
Conference: Missouri Valley Record: (14-8) | District: 1-02 Record: (21-10)
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-06-2023 Away W 66.93 105 59 1 286 ( 8- 23) NE Omaha 31.64 14.36
2 11-11-2023 Away L 22.37 62 88 1 55 ( 27- 7) WI Green Bay -12.93 -13.07
3 11-15-2023 Home W 15.99 90 86 1 322 ( 5- 26) SIUE -19.30 23.30
4 11-19-2023 Home W 35.29 89 51 ZZ 86 ( 0- 1) St Francis IL 0.00 * 38.00
5 11-24-2023 Neutral W 51.14 87 63 1 195 ( 17- 16) UT Arlington 15.85 8.15
6 11-25-2023 Away W 41.78 62 51 1 185 ( 13- 18) St Mary's CA 6.49 4.51
7 11-30-2023 Home W 52.58 102 47 1 362 ( 1- 26) Chicago St 17.29 * 37.71
8 12-03-2023 Away L 45.13 61 79 1 10 ( 31- 7) NC State 9.84 * -27.84
9 12-10-2023 Home L 44.89 62 64 1 44 ( 23- 9) Marquette 9.60 -11.60
10 12-19-2023 Home W 36.82 87 81 1 134 ( 22- 18) Saint Louis 1.53 4.47
11 12-30-2023 Home W * 15.68 78 74 1 327 ( 6- 26) Bradley -19.62 23.62
12 01-04-2024 Away L * 33.07 52 64 1 72 ( 26- 9) Belmont -2.22 -9.78
13 01-06-2024 Away L * 5.35 55 90 1 103 ( 20- 12) Murray St -29.94 -5.06
14 01-10-2024 Home W * 57.15 76 43 1 203 ( 11- 20) S Illinois 21.86 11.14
15 01-14-2024 Home W * 41.24 85 78 1 111 ( 23- 10) Missouri St 5.95 1.05
16 01-19-2024 Away W * 29.45 77 68 1 292 ( 5- 25) Valparaiso -5.84 14.84
17 01-21-2024 Away L * 27.01 79 86 1 1 155 ( 18- 16) IL Chicago -8.29 1.29
18 01-25-2024 Home W * 46.63 88 77 1 98 ( 16- 16) Northern Iowa 11.33 -0.33
19 01-27-2024 Home W * 50.56 79 70 1 63 ( 29- 6) Drake 15.26 -6.26
20 02-04-2024 Away W * 29.99 64 59 1 250 ( 11- 21) Indiana St -5.30 10.30
21 02-08-2024 Away L * 13.92 47 74 1 98 ( 16- 16) Northern Iowa -21.37 -5.63
22 02-10-2024 Away L * 31.85 64 79 1 63 ( 29- 6) Drake -3.44 -11.56
23 02-15-2024 Home W * 31.71 64 61 1 155 ( 18- 16) IL Chicago -3.58 6.58
24 02-17-2024 Home W * 29.16 78 64 1 292 ( 5- 25) Valparaiso -6.13 20.13
25 02-22-2024 Away W * 34.97 68 50 1 327 ( 6- 26) Bradley -0.32 18.32
26 02-25-2024 Home W * 36.86 78 50 1 343 ( 5- 28) Evansville 1.56 26.44
27 02-29-2024 Away W * 38.45 75 66 1 1 203 ( 11- 20) S Illinois 3.15 5.85
28 03-02-2024 Away L * 34.54 62 67 1 111 ( 23- 10) Missouri St -0.76 -4.24
29 03-07-2024 Home W * 45.06 85 75 1 103 ( 20- 12) Murray St 9.76 0.24
30 03-09-2024 Home L * 36.78 69 72 1 72 ( 26- 9) Belmont 1.49 -4.49
31 03-14-2024 Neutral W * 32.50 85 64 1 343 ( 5- 28) Evansville -2.79 23.79
32 03-15-2024 Neutral L * 34.27 75 79 1 98 ( 16- 16) Northern Iowa -1.02 -2.98
33 03-24-2024 Home W 36.01 74 67 1 151 ( 22- 10) Col Charleston 0.72 6.28
34 03-28-2024 Away L 14.84 61 86 1 109 ( 15- 17) Wisconsin -20.46 -4.54
Averages 35.29 74.3 68.6
Best game: 66.93 = 46 point win over NE Omaha
Worst game: 5.35 = 35 point loss to Murray St
Team stdev: 13.11